Archive for the ‘Analysis’ Category

Nicht der mächtigste – this time Die Zeit gets it wrong

Tuesday, March 25th, 2008

Fist on tableI suppose it was naive to assume that only the English-speaking press would get its analysis of the new President of the European Council completely wrong – as we’ve been documenting on this blog. Sadly German weekly Die Zeit falls into the same trap in an article from 20.03.2008:

Das Präsidentenamt wird der mächtigste Job sein, den die EU je zu vergeben hatte.

This roughly translates as the president job is the most powerful ever awarded in the EU. No – absolutely not. The article makes one reference to the Commission President, the position which, as head of the EU’s executive, will remain stronger than the European Council President. There’s also not a single mention in Die Zeit of the lack of democratic accountability of the European Council position.

I know journalists always want to make a pleasant story of power and intrigue, but why on this issue are so many basic errors always made?

Indy and The Economist: is analysis of the EU’s top jobs improving?

Friday, March 21st, 2008

Question markI think I’ve now read the first genuinely good analysis about future Presidents in a UK publication. Entitled “The Big Question: What is the role of the EU President, and who are the leading candidates?” it appeared in The Independent on Tuesday this week, written by John Lichfield. On particular paragraph is excellent – a succinct summary of the case for One President:

The obvious solution would be to appoint the same person as council President and EC President, with the High Representative as his or her sidekick and “foreign minister”. There is nothing in the EU treaties, as amended by the reform treaty, to prevent this from happening. You would then have a genuine “President for Europe” with real scope and power. For this reason alone, it will not happen.

Yes, the last line is our fear too – is any leader willing to be that radical? Citizens wanting a democratically legitimate EU should demand that sort of thinking. Lichfield also says that federalists hope the European Council position would develop into a directly elected President… I’m none too sure about that! Federalism is more often about parliamentary systems and not direct election. But some democratic legitimacy for the European Council President job is vital.

Charlemagne in The Economist last week was entitled “The parable of the Presidents” and looks at another facet of the European Council President job – how it keeps Heads of States away from chairing meetings while their ministerial colleagues will still chair formations of the Council of the EU. While my own reaction would be ‘tough’, there might well be something useful in this – if Heads of States themselves are none too pleased with the President of the European Council job that might mean they will not want a strong character to fill the position?

High-profile president – if you let the people decide

Monday, March 17th, 2008

A poll for Financial Times shows that a majority of the people asked would like to see a high-profile person as EU-president.

It is an interesting poll, but it is not asking the right questions. The coming year’s debate cannot only be about what kind of candidates we want. Don’t we need to know what kind of position they are candidates for first?

The result gives strong support for a more clear EU-leadership. However would it not be more important to give the role in it self legitimacy and responsibilities rather than just appointing an influential person? And, do we really want a strong and leader of the Council, appointed by the Heads of States and Governments in diplomatic negotiations rather than democratic debates? Finally, what are the chances that the council will ever agree on a top-figure?

Gender balance and the top EU jobs

Wednesday, March 12th, 2008

EP press conferenceWhat do Bertie Ahern, Jean Claude Juncker, Anders Fogh Rasmussen, José Manuel Barroso and Tony Blair all have in common? Well, they are all likely to get more backing from the centre-right for any candidacies for top jobs in the EU next year… and they are all men.

Party political balance and geographical balance are always at the top of the agenda when it comes to the carve-up of candidates in the EU, but there are growing calls for gender balance to be taken into account as well. Margot Wallström was the first to cite the lack of women candidates at the end of last week. This was followed by an ALDE press conference (watch it on Europe By Satellite here – needs Real Player) in the European Parliament with Diana Wallis, Karin Riis-Jørgensen and Anneli Jäätteenmäki to call for at least one woman in the top three EU positions (Commission President, European Council President, EU Foreign Minister).

Neelie Kroes also puts in an appearance and she states that without efforts from the European Parliament, the Netherlands government, and from Commission President Barroso to get 1/3 of the Commissioners to be female she would not have managed to secure the nomination to be Commissioner for Competition. Considering she’s considered one of the more effective Commissioners that’s a significant statement.

So who are the women who could be considered for any of these positions? In no particular order: Margot Wallström, Neelie Kroes, Tarja Halonen, Vaira Vīķe-Freiberga, Angela Merkel, Ségolène Royal, Dora Bakoyannis, Ursula Plassnik…? I’m surely missing some as I don’t know all the top ministers in all Member States. Suggestions?

(Hat tip for the link to the press conference: Brussels Blogger)

Former Polish Foreign Minister contemplates One President

Tuesday, March 11th, 2008

Rotfeld Europe’s WorldAdam Daniel Rotfeld, writing in the journal Europe’s World considers the issue of a ‘double-hat’, i.e. the same person as President of the European Commission and the European Council. This is the paragraph from the article (towards the end):

Looking ahead, governance issues are likely to be subject of review as the innovations of the Reform Treaty are tested in practice. The double-hatted high representative of the Union for foreign affairs and security policy could be a model for use elsewhere in the institutional architecture. A more ambitious double-hatting exercise would be one in which the president of the European Council serves at the same time as the president of the Commission. Interaction between the new permanent president of the Council and the member state presidencies is another area where improvements might be needed. The composition of the Commission, where traditionally there is a lot of creativity and fresh thinking, will attract attention. [my emphasis]

Are there other high level politicians that are backing the idea that have so far escaped out attention? (Hat tip: David Schoibl)

We all love speculation, but let’s get the terms right

Tuesday, March 11th, 2008

Blair stabbedIt saddens me today to read that even one of my favourite EU blogs – Certain ideas of Europe – falls into the trap of calling the President of the European Council position “first standing president of the European Union“. No, no, no. There’s the Commission too, and that has a full time President too. So let’s get the terms right. OK, few citizens know what the European Council is, but how many non-EU geeks read The Economist’s blog about the EU anyway?

As for the speculation – the fun bit – I reckon the Economist has a point with their analysis of Zapatero’s win. Blair managing to become President of the European Council was always going to be a long shot, and there’s no way he would want the admin (and 5 days a week job!) that the One President job we’re advocating would require. Blair’s last hope is that Berlusconi will win April’s elections in Italy, and that a Sarko-Berlo-Blair axis can manage to win the day. What a scary thought.

The latest odds for the President of the European Council position from Irish betting firm Paddy Power can be found here.

First MEP raises the issue of one President

Thursday, March 6th, 2008

asa westlund mediumThe Swedish MEP Åsa Westlund writes about whodoicall.eu on her blog.

Here is an English translation of her Swedish entry:

While there in Sweden is a debate about different negative aspects (real or imaginary) of the Lisbon Treaty my good friend Jon Worth has started a campaign called “Whodoicall.eu”.

They write: Henry Kissinger famously asked “Who do I call if I want to call Europe?” We think it’s time for an answer.

Their answer is that the European Council President (with the Heads of State and Government) and the Commission President should be the same person.

The idea with the Lisbon Treaty is that the chair of the European Council (which is sometimes refered to as the EU President) should be elected by the Heads of State and Government while the Commission President should be suggested by the Heads of State and Government but have democratic legitimacy by being approved by the directly elected European Parliament. If it would be the same person he/she would need both support from the Heads of State and Government and the European Parliament and in that have more democratic legitimacy in the whole EU. Someone that Kissinger could well have called.

The thought is utopian, but the question about who should lead the EU is not that simple. With the Lisbon Treaty, the European Parliament gets equal power with the Council in many areas.

I think it is good if more decisions are moved from the diplomats in closed rooms to the Parliament’s open plenary where the debate can be open to media and the public. Politics behind closed doors rarely gives good results.

There is a balance between efficient decision-making and the fact that democracy and debate have to take its time. The Lisbon Treaty is one step forward, but the debate about the democratic legitimacy should continue.

Photo: European Parliament

How the idea of One President emerged in the Convention

Monday, March 3rd, 2008

Some friends speaking to me after launching this website were positively surprised about “this great and fresh idea”. I say: thanks for the credit but our only achievment really is re-activating an argument from the Convention.

It was apparently a French (+ others) idea to install a permanent president of the European Council. These intergovernmentalist forces – joined by few other less ambitious member states and MEPs – had the intention to bring about a completely new institutional order with the abolishment or radical weakening of the Commission President. This would have been achieved by installing a strong and permanent European Council (EC) president. The Convention Presidium took up this idea of a permanent president in its drafts of late spring 2003.

However, Giscard and friends were experienced enough to propose an arrangement that somehow cares for a potentially  more useful division of tasks between the EC and Commission president. In their draft of late May 2003 they actually foresaw the opportunity for Commission and EC president to be identical (the so-called “big double-hat” – as opposed to the “small double-hat” being Vice-President of Commission and Mr/s CFSP of the Council). The French accepted this compromise arrangement then (securing an EC president) while in return the grouping of small member states accepted to have a rotating system for Commission members in which there was guaranteed pre-allocation for big member states.

A funny note on the side comes from then German foreign minister Joschka Fischer. When asked about the double heading (EC and Commission president) he replied that he has only good experience with “Doppelspitzen” in his own party :)

More Presidential reflections from VGE

Monday, March 3rd, 2008

VGE and European FlagValéry Giscard d’Estaing’s blog is interesting reading (in French) about important questions about the future of the EU. You know what you will get with him – a statesman-like, pro-EU approach, conscious of history, and tending towards intergovernmentalism. VGE’s comments about what the Convention on the Future of Europe did not discuss about the President of the European Council are interesting – here’s a rough translation into English:

Obviously it would have been interesting to conduct a discussion on the criteria for appointment of the future president, but the work of the European Convention was sufficiently loaded so that we could not enter into this debate. However, it was specifically stated, after lengthy discussions, that the future president could not hold a national mandate at the same time. It is desirable now to undertake further study.

So for VGE the means to select the President of the European Council are very much still open.

Thanks also to Thomas Lefebvre for posing the question to VGE, and linking to whodoicall.eu from his blog as well, so starting the debate in the French blogosphere.

VGE raises the issue of democratic accountability

Friday, February 29th, 2008

VGEIn an interesting blog post (in French), former President of the Convention on the Future of Europe, Valéry Giscard d’Estaing, raises an important question about the democratic accountability of the new post of President of the European Council:

Enfin, quelle est la relation à établir entre l’expression politique des citoyens à l’occasion des élections européennes et la désignation du Président du Conseil de l’Union ?

VGE urges the Slovenian EU Presidency to convene a high level study group to look at the issue – and underlines that democratic accountability is vital for the new position.

Not a bad idea all round, but One President is better. You don’t need any high level study groups for that. The European Political Parties can put up their candidates for Commission President before the European elections, and whichever party emerges strongest gets its person to be Commission President and European Council President.