Archive for March, 2008

How the idea of One President emerged in the Convention

Monday, March 3rd, 2008

Some friends speaking to me after launching this website were positively surprised about “this great and fresh idea”. I say: thanks for the credit but our only achievment really is re-activating an argument from the Convention.

It was apparently a French (+ others) idea to install a permanent president of the European Council. These intergovernmentalist forces – joined by few other less ambitious member states and MEPs – had the intention to bring about a completely new institutional order with the abolishment or radical weakening of the Commission President. This would have been achieved by installing a strong and permanent European Council (EC) president. The Convention Presidium took up this idea of a permanent president in its drafts of late spring 2003.

However, Giscard and friends were experienced enough to propose an arrangement that somehow cares for a potentially  more useful division of tasks between the EC and Commission president. In their draft of late May 2003 they actually foresaw the opportunity for Commission and EC president to be identical (the so-called “big double-hat” – as opposed to the “small double-hat” being Vice-President of Commission and Mr/s CFSP of the Council). The French accepted this compromise arrangement then (securing an EC president) while in return the grouping of small member states accepted to have a rotating system for Commission members in which there was guaranteed pre-allocation for big member states.

A funny note on the side comes from then German foreign minister Joschka Fischer. When asked about the double heading (EC and Commission president) he replied that he has only good experience with “Doppelspitzen” in his own party :)

More Presidential reflections from VGE

Monday, March 3rd, 2008

VGE and European FlagValéry Giscard d’Estaing’s blog is interesting reading (in French) about important questions about the future of the EU. You know what you will get with him – a statesman-like, pro-EU approach, conscious of history, and tending towards intergovernmentalism. VGE’s comments about what the Convention on the Future of Europe did not discuss about the President of the European Council are interesting – here’s a rough translation into English:

Obviously it would have been interesting to conduct a discussion on the criteria for appointment of the future president, but the work of the European Convention was sufficiently loaded so that we could not enter into this debate. However, it was specifically stated, after lengthy discussions, that the future president could not hold a national mandate at the same time. It is desirable now to undertake further study.

So for VGE the means to select the President of the European Council are very much still open.

Thanks also to Thomas Lefebvre for posing the question to VGE, and linking to whodoicall.eu from his blog as well, so starting the debate in the French blogosphere.

Candidates – the rumours

Sunday, March 2nd, 2008

I thought it might be worth reviewing “candidates” for the post of President of the European Council:

Tony Blair: most frequently mentioned I would say, has provoked negative campaign: www.stopblair.eu

José Manuel Barroso: could be “promoted” (= abgeschoben) to this post if different Commission president is chosen; would also be ideal candidate if One President as argued on this website is installed; I actually think that Barroso is just the kind of guy for this position

Guy Verhofstadt: outgoing Belgian Prime Minister and big looser in the Commission President game of 2004. Is frequently tipped for any post but would also be ideal candidate. However, I think he would be even more useful as Commission President.

Jean-Claude Juncker: longest serving prime minister (I think) and probably best qualified candidate (next to Verhofstadt). He has not yet indicated if he wants any EU post and seems to spread rumours about his unstable health from time to tome. However, as for Verhofstadt, I think he would be even more useful as Commission President.

Bertie Ahern: could be handy for him to move to Brussels in order to avoid further investitations in Ireland

Mikuláš Dzurinda: led a successful (centre-)right government in Slovakia, could come in if candidate from CEE is needed

Aleksander Kwaśniewski: made a good showing on EU scene as Polish president but became more known in his home country for his problems with alcohol lately, is known to have European ambitions (at least by running for EP in 2009) could come in handy if left-leaning candidate from CEE is neede

Valéry Giscard d’Estaing: had the Constitution been ratified as originally foreseen, many commentators had tipped on Giscard to take over the post over the initial period. By now he should be out of the game – but never underestimate the French…

Angela Merkel: only woman in the field and (despite of that) would obviously be the ideal candidate – but unless her government breaks up by then and she takes a deep dive in the polls (both quite unlikely), we should rather keep her in mind for 2014